Weekly Wrap-up - The Dow Jones Industrial Average Gains 59 Points on the Week
3/12/2010 4:38 PM
permanent linkKeywords:
DJIA
SPX
The day ends with the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) holding the same small gain seen midday. The S&P 500 (SPX), Nasdaq Composite (COMP), and Russell 2000 (RUT) also ended flat. The Dow remained trapped in a tight low-to-high range of only 50 points and that range was established in the first hour. The action from then on was even less energetic.
Chart Courtesy of Thomson Reuters
| Index |
Index Value |
Point Change |
Percent Change |
| S&P 500 (SPX) |
1150.0 |
-0.3 points |
-0.02 percent |
| Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) |
10624.7 |
12.8 points |
0.12 percent |
| Nasdaq Composite (COMP) |
2367.7 |
-0.8 points |
-0.03 percent |
| Russell 2000 (RUT) |
676.6 |
-0.6 points |
-0.09 percent |
| CBOE Market Volatility Index (VIX) |
17.58 |
-0.48 points |
-2.7 percent |
The Oil Service HOLDRS (OIH), iShares Treasury Bond (TLT), and S&P Retail Index (RLX) led while the US Oil Fund (USO), Amex Gold Bugs Index (HUI), and Amex Networking Index (NWX) lagged.
My midday post noted that the short-term charts were unchanged from what we saw last night. Given the flat close, the status quo remains so this give us a chance the revisit the weekly charts.
Charts Courtesy of Thomson Reuters
For the week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 59 points, .55%. The S&P 500 gained just under 1% while the Nasdaq Composite and Russell 2000 gained a little more than that. In other words, the week was essentially flat. While that isn't necessarily exciting action, the indexes are still holding the intermediate-term uptrends. As mentioned this afternoon, the market is overbought on a short-term basis. That doesn't mean we have to see an outright reversal, but it does put me on watch for near-term pullbacks and consolidations. And that is where I will pick up on Monday. Have a great weekend.
-posted by Nick Perry
3/12/2010 4:38 PM
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Mixx Pullback Prompts Put Buying on Evergreen Solar, Inc.
3/12/2010 2:51 PM
permanent linkKeywords:
ESLR
Put activity is much heavier than usual today on Evergreen Solar, Inc. (ESLR), with more than 4,100 of these bearishly skewed contracts crossing the tape so far. By contrast, the low-priced equity was expected to see put volume of just 173 contracts today.
The bulk of the activity is centered around ESLR's April 1 strike, where 4,000 contracts have traded so far. Nearly all of the major block trades at this strike have occurred at the ask price, suggesting that most of these contracts have been purchased. Since there's currently just one lone put contract in open interest at the April 1 strike, traders appear to be adding new positions here today.
With ESLR hovering near $1.23 this afternoon, April 1 put buyers are speculating on a near-term decline. However, this bearishly biased option activity is nothing new for the stock. ESLR's Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) checks in at 0.43, in the 77th annual percentile -- revealing that short-term option players have been more pessimistically aligned just 23% of the time during the past year.
Short sellers are also piling on, with the number of ESLR shares sold short escalating by 10.7% during the past month. Now, short interest represents a lofty 12% of the stock's available float, or 8.5 times ESLR's average daily trading volume.
Today's uptick in put buying occurs as ESLR faces a critical juncture on the charts. The shares recently broke out above stubborn pressure from their 10-day and 20-day moving averages, but upward progress was halted by the $1.30 level. Now, the stock is struggling to maintain its hard-won foothold atop these short-term trendlines.
-posted by Elizabeth Harrow
3/12/2010 2:51 PM
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Mixx Midday Market Check - A Quiet Morning for the Dow Jones Industrial Average
3/12/2010 1:23 PM
permanent linkKeywords:
DJIA
SVU
POT
MOS
We head into the second half of the session with another lackluster midday picture. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) opened with a small rally but that quickly gave way to a minor dip into negative territory. The average has traded in a low-to-high range of only 50 points so far and currently sits 10 points above the breakeven line. The S&P 500 (SPX), Nasdaq Composite (COMP), and Russell 2000 (RUT) are also flat.
Chart Courtesy of Thomson Reuters
Today's strongest groups are the Oil Service HOLDRS (OIH), iShares Treasury Bond (TLT), and S&P Retail Index (RLX). However, the gains are limited. The US Oil Fund (USO), Amex Gold Bugs Index (HUI), and streetTRACKS Gold (GLD) are the weakest areas.
SUPERVALU INC. (NYSE: SVU), The Mosaic Company
(NYSE: MOS), and Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan (NYSE: POT) are among the stocks seeing unusual option volume so far today.
Click image to see live data from
WhatsTrading.com in our Options Center
Supervalu tops today's list amid buyout chatter. Total option volume is 22 times the average with calls dominating. Shares of SVU are up 5%. This morning's put skew scan noted that Potash Corp was bid up in early action. Shares of POT tagged a new annual high and are up 7%. Options are 3 times as active as normal with calls making up 61% of the action. The Mosaic Company is up 6% and calls are active there as well.
Yesterday ended with the S&P 500 still flirting with a breakout. Today brings more of the same. The SPX did tick to a new annual high this morning but the momentum was short lived. The flat action here doesn't offer much of a change from what was noted last night. As has been the case for the last few sessions, the Nasdaq Composite and Russell 2000 are sitting above former resistance. All of the indexes are holding near-term uptrends but all are showing short-term overbought readings.
-posted by Nick Perry
3/12/2010 1:23 PM
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Mixx Traders Add Out-of-the-Money Calls on Hudson City Bancorp, Inc.
3/12/2010 12:02 PM
permanent linkKeywords:
HCBK
Call volume has accelerated today on Hudson City Bancorp, Inc. (HCBK), with more than 1,800 of these bullishly oriented options crossing the tape so far. This uptick in trading outpaces HCBK's expected daily call volume by a margin of nearly 15 to one, since the shares typically fly under the radar of most option players.
The center of attention today is HCBK's October 15 call, where 943 contracts have changed hands. The majority of these contracts have traded at the ask price, suggesting a bias toward buying activity, and implied volatility on this back-month option is up 2.6% at last check. Currently, the October 15 call has just 722 contracts in residence, so it's safe to assume that at least a portion of today's volume consists of freshly opened positions.
In fact, call buying appears to be a growing trend on HCBK. The stock sports a 10-day International Securities Exchange (ISE) call/put volume ratio of 6.75, with nearly seven times more calls than puts bought to open during the past two weeks. This ratio ranks in the 69th annual percentile, revealing that traders are purchasing bullish bets over bearish at a faster pace than usual.
This optimistically skewed option activity could be the result of increased hedging by the shorts. Short interest on HCBK rose by 5.9% during the most recent reporting period, and now accounts for 2.4% of the stock's float.
Alternatively, speculators could simply be trying to capitalize on a continuation of HCBK's recent strength. Like many regional banking issues, the stock has trekked higher this week amid ongoing merger-and-acquisition chatter, with Barclays (BCS) reportedly scoping the sector for a takeover target. However, on the charts, HCBK is staring up at stubborn resistance in the $14-to-$14.50 neighborhood. This region has capped the stock's progress since July 2009.
-posted by Elizabeth Harrow
3/12/2010 12:02 PM
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Mixx The Sentiment Behind The Ultimate Software Group Inc
3/12/2010 11:34 AM
permanent linkKeywords:
ULTI
The Ultimate Software Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: ULTI) is an interesting situation. As the company's site says, they provide the "'ultimate software' for human resources and payroll professionals." However, it is the sentiment backdrop and price action that I find intriguing. Let's start with the some data.
(Click image to see live data)
According to data collected by our Quantified Analysis department, 14% of the stock's float is sold short. That is a relatively high level and suggests skepticism. The mood on the Street also seems cynical as only 5 of 17 analysts (29%) rank The Ultimate Software Group with a buy rating. As a contrarian, I view this pessimism as an encouraging sign when viewed in the context of the chart below.
Chart Courtesy of Thomson Reuters
Heading into today, shares of The Ultimate Software Group were showing a 52-week gain of 99%. The stock is overbought but former congestion near 32 would be viewed as support.
-posted by Nick Perry
3/12/2010 11:34 AM
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Mixx Option Skews - Relatively Heavy Call Activity on Micron Technology Inc and Research In Motion Limited
3/12/2010 10:21 AM
permanent linkKeywords:
MU
RIMM
C
INTC
Here are the stocks that saw a bias toward call activity in the previous session.
This filtered scan is based on the International Securities Exchange (ISE) buy-to-open data. It looks for stocks where the previous day's call volume on the ISE is at least twice as great as the put volume. It then sorts the stocks based on the call volume. Since this is buy-to-open data, this can be a good source for finding stocks where optimism is emerging. Of particular interest to me would be situations where we see call activity on stocks that are still in intermediate-term downtrends. This would be a potentially cautionary sign from the contrarian perspective.
Micron Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ: MU) comes in near the top of the scan with over 5,000 calls bought on the ISE. The stock has continued to rally off support, extending the intermeidiate-term uptrend in place since November 2008.
Research In Motion Limited (USA) (NASDAQ: RIMM) has finally managed to break out of congestion, which is a constructive short-term sign. Overall, I have had my concerns about this equity (and been wrong) so I am watching to see how this plays out. The weekly chart shows the shares would need to push through 90 to clear the double peaks from last year but that is 20% higher than current levels.

Companies included in today's scan results: Citigroup Inc (C), Intel Corp. (INTC), Micron Technology Inc (MU), Hologic (HOLX), Huntington Bancshares Incorporated (HBAN), Las Vegas Sands Corp (LVS), Research in Motion Limited (RIMM), Wells Fargo & Co (WFC), AES Corp. (AES), Qwest Communications International (Q), Illinois Tool Works (ITW), SLM Corp. (SLM), Best Buy Co. (BBY), MEMC Electronic Materials Inc (WFR), Palm Inc (PALM), Pfizer (PFE), Alkermes (ALKS), First Solar, Inc. (FSLR), Commercial Metals (CMC), CIGNA Corp. (CI), CA Inc. (CA), Visa Inc. (V), Qualcomm Inc (QCOM), Hecla Mining (HL), Hartford Financial Services (HIG).
-posted by Nick Perry
3/12/2010 10:21 AM
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Mixx Option Skews - Relatively Heavy Put Activity on American International Group Inc, Advanced Micro Devices Inc, Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan
3/12/2010 9:09 AM
permanent linkKeywords:
AIG
AMD
POT
QQQQ
Here are the stocks that saw a bias toward put activity in the previous session.
This filtered scan is based on the International Securities Exchange (ISE) buy-to-open data. It looks for stocks where the previous day's put volume on the ISE is at least twice as great as the call volume. It then sorts the stocks based on the put volume. Since this is buy-to-open data, this can be a good source for finding stocks where skepticism is emerging. Of particular interest to me would be situations where we see put activity on stocks that are still in intermediate-term uptrends. This would be a potentially encouraging sign from the contrarian perspective.
American International Group, Inc. (NYSE: AIG) has been a hot bed of activity recently. Last Monday we saw the equity was poised to challenge resistance near 28. Tuesday's short interest scan noted the shares were in a position to break a near-term downtrend. The company then appeared on the next day's unusual stock volume scan showing a gain of more than 12%. The equity stopped for a breather yesterday amid overbought readings. The area near 33 looks to be short-term support.
Just over 6,000 puts were bought on Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NYSE: AMD). That continues the put activity noted Monday. At they stand now, shares of AMD are up nearly 4% on the week.
Keep an eye on Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan (NYSE: POT). The stock is bid up 9% to 126 in pre-open action. That puts the equity at the annual high hit in January.
Companies included in today's scan results: SPDR Gold Trust (GLD), PowerShares QQQ Trust (QQQQ), American International Group Inc (AIG), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Ryland Group (RYL), Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE), Walgreen (WAG), Zimmer (ZMH), ATP Oil & Gas Corp (ATPG), Aeropostale Inc (ARO), CVS Corp. (CVS), Ford Motor Co (F), CF Industries Holdings (CF), Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan (POT), Boeing (BA), Veeco Instruments (VECO), Abbott Laboratories (ABT), Molex Incorporated (MOLX), LDK Solar Co Ltd (LDK), Atheros Communications (ATHR), Acorda Therapeutics, Inc. (ACOR), Merck (MRK), DEUTSCHE BANK AG (DB), BB&T Corp. (BBT), Enterprise Products Partners (EPD).
-posted by Nick Perry
3/12/2010 9:09 AM
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Mixx Stocks Advancing Amid Heavy Short Interest - Clean Energy Fuels Corp, Canadian Solar Inc, Acorda Therapeutics Inc, Sunesis Pharmaceuticals, Inc
3/12/2010 8:27 AM
permanent linkKeywords:
CLNE
CSIQ
ACOR
SNSS
As explained in our education section, short interest is a useful sentiment indicator that measures the level of investor pessimism toward a stock. While it isn't always a simple "long only" indicator, it can give you insight into situations where you might see concentrated buying demand. The purpose of this post is to highlight heavily-shorted stocks that could be in the midst of a potential short covering rally. More details about the methodology are listed below.
The table below shows a couple of reoccurring themes that I have been following. The first began last week when we saw signs that the biotech sector was on the move. Since that post we have seen a number stocks related to that area show up and today that continues with Metabolix, Inc. (NASDAQ: MBLX), Sunesis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ: SNSS), Incyte Corporation (NASDAQ: INCY), and Acorda Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: ACOR) making the list.
The other theme relates to Clean Energy Fuels Corp. (NASDAQ: CLNE), FuelCell Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ: FCEL), Canadian Solar Inc. (NASDAQ: CSIQ), and Fuel Systems Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ: FSYS). Tuesday's short interest scan noted some activity in the alternative energy group. There is action in names ranging from fuel cells to solar to alternative fuels like natural gas. In general, alternative energy stocks have a history of being "momentum names" so it is worth watching to see if buyers are starting to return in force.
Methodology - the query scans my database of companies which has some basic filters to eliminate stocks that don't trade frequently. The table above is a filtered list of stocks that have at least 10 percent of their float sold short and showed a gain in the previous trading day. I use this as a tool for finding situations where stocks with heavy short interest have begun to move.
Companies included in today's scan are: Capitol Bancorp. (CBC), Clean Energy Fuels Corp. (CLNE), Metabolix, Inc. (MBLX), The Gymboree Corp (GYMB), FuelCell Energy (FCEL), Synovus Financial (SNV), Fuel Systems Solutions Inc (FSYS), Sunesis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (SNSS), Canadian Solar Inc. (CSIQ), AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV), BankAtlantic Bancorp (BBX), Trex (TWP), Sterling Financial (STSA), United Community Banks (UCBI), PrivateBancorp (PVTB), Burger King Holdings, Inc. (BKC), Gamestop Corp (GME), C&D Technologies (CHP), NetSuite Inc. (N), Travelzoo Inc (TZOO), Stewart Enterprises (STEI), CompuCredit (CCRT), Incyte Corp. (INCY), Acorda Therapeutics, Inc. (ACOR), EnerNOC, Inc. (ENOC).
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-posted by Nick Perry
3/12/2010 8:27 AM
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Mixx Stocks Showing Unusually Heavy Volume - Globalstar Inc, RXi Pharmaceuticals Corp, Capitol Bancorp Ltd, Hologic Inc, Citigroup Inc
3/12/2010 7:53 AM
permanent linkKeywords:
GSAT
RXII
CBC
C
Here are the results for today's unusual stock volume scan. The scan looks at the previous day's volume and compares it to the recent average volume. It then sorts the stocks based on those that showed the biggest increase (the "unusual" part) in volume.
Companies included in today's scan are: SkillSoft plc (SKIL), Clean Energy Fuels Corp. (CLNE), Globalstar, Inc. (GSAT), Mattson Technology (MTSN), RXi Pharmaceuticals Corp (RXII), Capitol Bancorp Ltd (CBC), The Gymboree Corp (GYMB), Zimmer (ZMH), Blount International (BLT), Cinemark Holdings, Inc. (CNK), Hologic (HOLX), Synovus Financial (SNV), Wright Medical Group (WMGI), Maidenform Brands, Inc. (MFB), C&D Technologies (CHP), Psychiatric Solutions (PSYS), Metabolix, Inc. (MBLX), Idenix Pharmaceuticals (IDIX), Nabi Biopharmaceuticals (NABI), Trex (TWP), Huntington Bancshares Inc (HBAN), Gamestop Corp (GME), FuelCell Energy (FCEL), Alkermes (ALKS), Citigroup Inc (C).
More on Hologic, Inc. (NASDAQ: HOLX) can be found in yesterday's
midday market check...
These are the top stocks from today's scan, which has some basic filters to eliminate stocks that don't trade frequently. A description of the column headings is below.
- Move Previous Day - yesterday's percent return.
- Volume Increase - looks at the previous day's volume and compares it to the recent average volume. It then sorts the stocks based on those that showed the biggest increase (the "unusual" part) in volume.
- Close - yesterday's closing price.
- Total Ratings - number of analysts who track the stock, according to Zacks.
- Buy Percent - percent of the analysts who rate the stock as a "buy". I use this to help gauge sentiment and potential buying demand. If everyone already loves a stock, that means a steady stream of new money will need to enter the stock to fuel a rally.
Note - sentiment data is current as of the previous trading day...
-posted by Nick Perry
3/12/2010 7:53 AM
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Mixx Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average Suggest a 25-Point Gain
Daily Wrap-up - A 45-Point Gain for the Dow Jones Industrial Average
3/11/2010 4:51 PM
permanent linkKeywords:
DJIA
SPX
The day ends with a mild showing of strength as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) gains 45 points. The midday check of the action showed the Dow had recovered from an initial wave of selling but hadn't yet made a successful push into positive territory. The last hour brought buyers into the mix. The S&P 500 (SPX), Nasdaq Composite (COMP), and Russell 2000 (RUT) also posted moderate rallies.
Chart Courtesy of Thomson Reuters
| Index |
Index Value |
Point Change |
Percent Change |
| S&P 500 (SPX) |
1150.2 |
4.6 points |
0.40 percent |
| Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) |
10611.8 |
44.5 points |
0.42 percent |
| Nasdaq Composite (COMP) |
2368.5 |
9.5 points |
0.40 percent |
| Russell 2000 (RUT) |
677.2 |
2.3 points |
0.34 percent |
| CBOE Market Volatility Index (VIX) |
18.06 |
-0.51 points |
-2.8 percent |
The sector action finished with an upside bias but most of the gains were mild. The PowerShares Clean Energy ETF (PBW), Amex Networking Index (NWX), Amex Gold Bugs Index (HUI), and Regional Bank HOLDRS (RKH) led while the Semiconductor HOLDRS (SMH) lagged.
My midday post noted that the S&P 500 was still near resistance. The afternoon rally put the index back at its former highs but it wasn't enough to secure a decisive breakout.
Charts Courtesy of Thomson Reuters
The COMP, however, did tick to new annual high and RUT isn't far from that mark. All in all, we head into tomorrow with the near-term uptrends still intact. And that is where I will pick up in the morning. Have a nice evening.
-posted by Nick Perry
3/11/2010 4:51 PM
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Mixx Bulls Set Their Sights on Discover Financial Services
3/11/2010 2:41 PM
permanent linkKeywords:
DFS
Discover Financial Services (DFS) has experienced an unusual surge in call volume today, with activity jumping to roughly seven times the usual level. So far, approximately 3,800 calls have changed hands, compared to the stock's expected call volume of just 550 contracts.
The day's most popular strike is the March 15 call, where 2,590 contracts have traded at last check. Nearly three-quarters of these contracts have crossed the tape at the ask price, suggesting that buyers are responsible for the bulk of this volume. Implied volatility on the March 15 call is up 2.8% this afternoon, confirming that demand is on the rise for this option.
In fact, bullish sentiment appears to be approaching peak levels among option traders. DFS has racked up a 10-day International Securities Exchange (ISE)/Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) call/put volume ratio of 45.30, which ranks higher than 96% of other such readings taken during the previous year. This elevated rank reveals that traders have rarely purchased calls over puts at a faster pace.
In the same vein, the stock's Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) of 0.35 is resting just one percentage point from an annual optimistic climax. In the front-month series, peak call open interest of 4,349 contracts lies at the aforementioned March 15 call, which is out of the money by less than a point.
Elsewhere, very few stock traders are betting on the stock to plunge -- short interest represents a nearly negligible 0.6% of the equity's float.
The sudden interest in bullish bets on DFS coincides with a period of robust price action for the stock. Since Feb. 16, the shares have climbed consistently higher along the support of their 10-day and 20-day moving averages.
-posted by Elizabeth Harrow
3/11/2010 2:41 PM
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Mixx Midday Market Check - The Dow Jones Industrial Average Drops 10 Points
3/11/2010 1:04 PM
permanent linkKeywords:
DJIA
SPX
HOLX
CAKE
We head into the second half of the session with the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) down 10 points. An early round of selling pressure knocked the blue chips to a morning loss of 60 points but downdraft ended there and average rebounded to flat. The action since then has been an aimless drift. The S&P 500 (SPX), Nasdaq Composite (COMP), and Russell 2000 (RUT) are each showing small losses as well.
Chart Courtesy of Thomson Reuters
Today's strongest groups are the PowerShares Clean Energy ETF (PBW), Amex Networking Index (NWX), Amex Gold Bugs Index (HUI), and Regional Bank HOLDRS (RKH), but the gains are limited. The Semiconductor HOLDRS (SMH) and Amex Biotech Index (BTK) are the weakest areas.
Hologic, Inc. (NASDAQ: HOLX) and The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ: CAKE) are among the stocks seeing unusual option volume so far today.
Click image to see live data from
WhatsTrading.com in our Options Center
Shares of Hologic Inc are up 6% to a new annual high amid buyout chatter. Total option volume is running 11 times the average with 88% of the activity on the call side. The Cheesecake Factory is also hitting a new high today but here we see puts showing the most activity. Total option volume is over 10 times the norm.
Yesterday ended with the S&P 500 challenging resistance. That effort is seeing a minor setback here but, overall, nothing has really changed from a technical perspective.
-posted by Nick Perry
3/11/2010 1:04 PM
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Mixx The Sentiment Behind Fuqi International Inc
3/11/2010 12:21 PM
permanent linkKeywords:
FUQI
Fuqi International, Inc. (NASDAQ: FUQI) appeared on this morning's short interest scan after the equity gained 6% Wednesday. Here is a look at the sentiment backdrop.
As noted this morning, 40% of the stock's float is sold short. That skepticism is countered with some optimism from the Street as 7 of 8 analysts rank Fuqi International with a buy rating. The Schaeffer's Put/Call Open Interest Ratio (SOIR) shows a general downtrend, which could hint at optimism. However, call buying could also be used for hedging short positions so this could be exerting a downward force on the ratio. As a whole, I would call this a mixed profile. Any short positions noted hedge could represent potential buying demand but downgrades are a possible concern.
The weekly chart below is an updated version to the one discussed last month.
Chart Courtesy of Thomson Reuters
Here we see that shares of Fuqi International have managed to break the former pattern of descending highs and lows. The equity is now in what is sometimes referred to as a basing period. This is the phase where the main selling pressure has run its course but buying is still tentative. In general, I view this sort of transition as being constructive. A push above the January highs near 22 would signal that buyers are starting to return in force.
This is a stock that has demonstrated tremendous degree of volatility so keep that in mind.
-posted by Nick Perry
3/11/2010 12:21 PM
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Mixx Straddle Player Bets on a Big Move from PrivateBancorp, Inc.
3/11/2010 11:20 AM
permanent linkKeywords:
PVTB
PrivateBancorp, Inc. (PVTB) has bounced higher this week, with the shares up roughly 11.5% from last Friday's close. Judging by a directionally neutral volatility play that crossed the tape earlier this morning, at least one speculator is expecting the equity's technical breakout to continue during the near term.
Shortly after the open, a block of 90 contracts traded on PVTB's April 15 put near the ask price, indicating they were purchased. Simultaneously, a block of 90 contracts changed hands on the stock's April 15 call, with this transaction also occurring near the ask price. In other words, this appears to be a long straddle on the banking issue.
By purchasing an equal number of near-the-money April 15 calls and puts, this trader hopes to capitalize on a dramatic price swing in the underlying stock. The goal is for PVTB to make a major move higher or lower -- the direction doesn't matter, only the magnitude of the price change.
In order to turn a profit, the stock must move beyond one of two breakeven levels: the strike price plus the net debit on an upside move, or the strike price minus the net debit on a downside move.
On the charts, PVTB is approaching a critical juncture. The stock is gearing up to challenge the $15 level, which marked the site of its bearish gap in late October. As a result, this region could act as a speed bump for the shares during the short term.
-posted by Elizabeth Harrow
3/11/2010 11:20 AM
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Mixx Option Skews - Relatively Heavy Call Activity on RadioShack Corp, Ford Motor Company, Huntington Bancshares Inc
3/11/2010 9:50 AM
permanent linkKeywords:
RSH
F
HBAN
Here are the stocks that saw a bias toward call activity in the previous session.
This filtered scan is based on the International Securities Exchange (ISE) buy-to-open data. It looks for stocks where the previous day's call volume on the ISE is at least twice as great as the put volume. It then sorts the stocks based on the call volume. Since this is buy-to-open data, this can be a good source for finding stocks where optimism is emerging. Of particular interest to me would be situations where we see call activity on stocks that are still in intermediate-term downtrends. This would be a potentially cautionary sign from the contrarian perspective.
RadioShack Corporation (NYSE: RSH) has followed through with the breakout that was discussed last week. The sentiment profile (link available in the graph seen by holding your mouse over the ticker symbol) shows analysts are still on the sidelines.
Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F) recently emerged from a price compression and continued to gain ground. This is another situation where analysts have yet to really embrace the stock.
Huntington Bancshares Incorporated (NASDAQ: HBAN) pushed through resistance near 5 yesterday. This area marked the January peak and the equity hesitated there on Tuesday. The shares had trouble holding their highs yesterday but are back up again today.
Companies included in today's scan results: Citigroup Inc (C), Bank of America Corp (BAC), Microsoft Corp (MSFT), Google Inc (GOOG), Radioshack (RSH), Yum! Brands (YUM), Occidental Petroleum (OXY), Petroleo Brasileiro SA (PBR), Regions Financial Corp (RF), General Electric (GE), Wells Fargo & Co (WFC), AMR Corp. (AMR), Cisco Systems Inc (CSCO), Ford Motor Co (F), Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT), Terra Industries (TRA), Huntington Bancshares Incorporated (HBAN), MEMC Electronic Materials Inc (WFR), Las Vegas Sands Corp (LVS), Qualcomm Inc (QCOM), Exxon Mobil (XOM), Newell Rubbermaid (NWL), Intel Corp. (INTC), Pfizer (PFE), Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY).
-posted by Nick Perry
3/11/2010 9:50 AM
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Mixx Option Skews - Relatively Heavy Put Activity on Oracle Corp, PNC Financial Services, Atheros Communications Inc, Amgen Inc
3/11/2010 9:12 AM
permanent linkKeywords:
ORCL
PNC
ATHR
AMGN
Here are the stocks that saw a bias toward put activity in the previous session.
This filtered scan is based on the International Securities Exchange (ISE) buy-to-open data. It looks for stocks where the previous day's put volume on the ISE is at least twice as great as the call volume. It then sorts the stocks based on the put volume. Since this is buy-to-open data, this can be a good source for finding stocks where skepticism is emerging. Of particular interest to me would be situations where we see put activity on stocks that are still in intermediate-term uptrends. This would be a potentially encouraging sign from the contrarian perspective.
Oracle Corporation (NASDAQ: ORCL), PNC Financial Services (NYSE: PNC), and U.S. Bancorp (NYSE: USB) are each creeping up on annual highs that were hit in January. Meanwhile, Atheros Communications, Inc. (NASDAQ: ATHR) hit a new high last week and has been consolidating the gains.
From a longer-term basis, I am keeping an eye on Amgen, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMGN). The weekly chart shows a price compression. Over the last year there have been a series of higher lows and lower highs. The equity is still near the mid-point of this range though so it doesn't look like a breakout is necessarily imminent.

Companies included in today's scan results: PowerShares QQQ Trust (QQQQ), KB HOME (KBH), Sprint Nextel (S), Oracle Corp. (ORCL), Capital One Financial (COF), PNC Financial Services Group (PNC), Royal Caribbean Cruises. (RCL), U.S. Bancorp (USB), United States Steel Corp (X), Best Buy Co. (BBY), Clearwire Corporation (CLWR), SunTrust Banks (STI), Quest Diagnostics Incorporated (DGX), Coca-Cola Enterprises (CCE), Frontline. (FRO), Atheros Communications (ATHR), Transocean (RIG), Annaly Mortgage Management (NLY), Equitable Resources (EQT), Western Digital (WDC), ATP Oil & Gas Corp (ATPG), Synaptics Incorporated (SYNA), Genzyme General (GENZ), Amgen Inc (AMGN), UnitedHealth Group Inc (UNH).
-posted by Nick Perry
3/11/2010 9:12 AM
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Mixx Stocks Advancing Amid Heavy Short Interest - Psychiatric Solutions Inc, Amylin Pharmaceuticals Inc, Cardionet Inc, Jazz Pharmaceuticals Inc
3/11/2010 8:36 AM
permanent linkKeywords:
PSYS
AMLN
JAZZ
BEAT
As explained in our education section, short interest is a useful sentiment indicator that measures the level of investor pessimism toward a stock. While it isn't always a simple "long only" indicator, it can give you insight into situations where you might see concentrated buying demand. The purpose of this post is to highlight heavily-shorted stocks that could be in the midst of a potential short covering rally. More details about the methodology are listed below.
The jump in shares of Psychiatric Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ: PSYS) recoups the plunge that began last September. However, the rally is on acquisition chatter. These situations can be volatile, and tricky, so keep that in mind.
Amylin Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMLN), Jazz Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ: JAZZ), and Cardionet Inc (NASDAQ: BEAT) are all from the healthcare area and all have been discussed in previous short interest posts recently.
Amylin is now breakout out of congestion.
Jazz Pharmaceuticals continues to show steady buying. Cardionet has now cleared resistance near 6.70.
Methodology - the query scans my database of companies which has some basic filters to eliminate stocks that don't trade frequently. The table above is a filtered list of stocks that have at least 10 percent of their float sold short and showed a gain in the previous trading day. I use this as a tool for finding situations where stocks with heavy short interest have begun to move.
Companies included in today's scan are: InterMune (ITMN), Psychiatric Solutions (PSYS), Kinetic Concepts (KCI), Zale Corp. (ZLC), American International Group Inc (AIG), LDK Solar Co Ltd (LDK), Amcore Financial (AMFI), Brunswick (BC), Ethan Allen Interiors (ETH), Vail Resorts (MTN), Eagle Bulk Shipping Inc. (EGLE), MBIA Inc (MBI), Williams-Sonoma (WSM), Amylin Pharmaceuticals (AMLN), Zions Bancorporation (ZION), Fuqi International Inc (FUQI), Holly Corp. (HOC), Synovus Financial (SNV), PrivateBancorp (PVTB), Georgia Gulf (GGC), iStar Financial (SFI), CardioNet, Inc. (BEAT), Continental Airlines (CAL), Children's Place Retail Stores (PLCE), Jazz Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (JAZZ).
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-posted by Nick Perry
3/11/2010 8:36 AM
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Mixx Stocks Showing Unusually Heavy Volume - Oculus Innovative Sciences Inc, Vicor Corp, InterMune Inc, Cytokinetics Inc
3/11/2010 7:48 AM
permanent linkKeywords:
OCLS
VICR
ITMN
CYTK
Here are the results for today's unusual stock volume scan. The scan looks at the previous day's volume and compares it to the recent average volume. It then sorts the stocks based on those that showed the biggest increase (the "unusual" part) in volume.
Companies included in today's scan are: Oculus Innovative Sciences, Inc. (OCLS), Susquehanna Bancshares (SUSQ), GT Solar International Inc (SOLR), Psychiatric Solutions (PSYS), Kinetic Concepts (KCI), ExlService Holdings, Inc. (EXLS), Analogic (ALOG), Sonic (SONC), The Boston Beer Co Inc (SAM), Vicor Corp. (VICR), J. Crew Group, Inc. (JCG), Wabash National (WNC), C&D Technologies (CHP), InterMune Inc (ITMN), CDC Corp. (CHINA), American Eagle Outfitters (AEO), Acorn International, Inc. (ATV), Cepheid (CPHD), Freddie Mac (FRE), Cytokinetics Inc (CYTK), Fannie Mae (FNM), Citigroup Inc (C), American International Group Inc (AIG), Ambac Financial Group (ABK), Zions Bancorporation (ZION).
These are the top stocks from today's scan, which has some basic filters to eliminate stocks that don't trade frequently. A description of the column headings is below.
- Move Previous Day - yesterday's percent return.
- Volume Increase - looks at the previous day's volume and compares it to the recent average volume. It then sorts the stocks based on those that showed the biggest increase (the "unusual" part) in volume.
- Close - yesterday's closing price.
- Total Ratings - number of analysts who track the stock, according to Zacks.
- Buy Percent - percent of the analysts who rate the stock as a "buy". I use this to help gauge sentiment and potential buying demand. If everyone already loves a stock, that means a steady stream of new money will need to enter the stock to fuel a rally.
Note - sentiment data is current as of the previous trading day...
-posted by Nick Perry
3/11/2010 7:48 AM
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Mixx Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average Suggest a Flat Open